Franklin Zimring and Barry Krisberg Won’t Predict Trends from Crime Stats

San Francisco Chronicle, July 4, 2010 Editorial
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/07/04/EDBS1E6MO8.DTL

“There is no clear and highly predictable relationship between economic variations and the rates of life-threatening crime,” said Franklin Zimring, William G. Simon Professor of Law at UC Berkeley.

From demographics to drugs to incarceration policies, they’ve all proven to be inadequate to the task, said Barry Krisberg, Distinguished Senior Fellow at UC Berkeley School of Law. “Ultimately you’re trying to model individual decisions by millions of people,” Krisberg said. “It’s very, very difficult.”